Jigsaw Trading Blog

Group Therapy – Complexity vs Simplicity – Part 1

We now have dates for the first 2 group therapy sessions for 2021. Session 1 will be on 26th Feb at 11am EST. Click here to sign up. The other session will be a week later, links  for that will go out next week. 

In these first 2 sessions, we’ll expand on our recent Trend & Chop webinar. We’ll do it across 2 sessions and the recordings will go in to the Advanced/Professional course.  

These will be two-way sessions. So you’ll be welcome to give your opinions and input on each topic. In fact, we are specifically looking for opposing opinions in session 1.

The first session will start with a look at the complexity of the markets we trade – and what that means in terms of any player being able to nudge that market around. Then we’ll take a look at some of today’s commonly held trading beliefs and what that would mean on “the other side of the trade” as well as how realistic that might be.  

The intent will be to take a critical glance at the most common theories being blindly applied to the markets because ‘everyone does it’. I’ll present “arguments against” and you can counter that with your own perspectives.

  • The Dog & The Tail – The connectedness of things
  • Futures vs Stocks – Structural differences, differences in what causes activity
  • Holding Times
  • Algos/HFTs
  • Auction Market Theory (AMT) – Is the market an auction?
  • Auction Market Theory – how does it help us/how do we prove it?
  • ‘Unfinished Business’ in AMT.
  • Supply/Demand Zones. Who is there and why?
  • Support/Resistance. Who is there and why?
  • Volume Profiles – how long is volume relevant?

If there’s other market approaches/theories you want us to cover – let us know.

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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.